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Gold futures gained 2% on Wednesday, prompting prices to post their highest finish in about a month as the U.S. dollar and bond yields weakened following a report on inflation in September.
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Prices for the precious metal then moved slightly lower in electronic trading Wednesday afternoon, shortly after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s Sept. 21-22 monetary policy meeting.
The U.S. consumer price index report showed inflation pressures continuing to build and “gold, as a hard currency, has historically been seen by investors as a hedge against inflation,” said Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management.
“As signs that inflation is likely not transient have emerged over the last few days between commodity price rallies…increasing wage inflation and price inflation, gold’s role as an inflation hedge has moved back to the forefront,” he told MarketWatch. Weakness in the U.S. dollar also helped to put a tailwind behind gold, Cieszynski said.
The September U.S.consumer-price index reading rose 0.4%, versus expectations for 0.3% on the month. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI climbed 0.2% after edging up 0.1% in August, the smallest gain in six months.
In the 12 months through September, the CPI increased 5.4% after advancing 5.3% year-over-year in August and annualized core CPI rose 4.0% after increasing 4.0% in August.
“The acceleration in total consumer inflation in this CPI report makes Fed action to curtail inflation both imperative and imminent,” said Jason Schenker, president of Prestige Economics, in emailed commentary. “We continue to believe that the Fed is likely to announce a planned reduction” in quantitative easing (QE) on Nov. 3. He also said he expects the Fed to raise interest rates next year.
QE tends to help support gold prices, but the Fed has been widely expected to announce next month that it will begin tapering its monthly bond purchases.
Against that backdrop, December gold GC00,
Meanwhile, silver for December delivery SIZ21,
“Gold has risen mainly due to expectations that inflation will continue to rise in the fourth quarter,” said Chintan Karnani, director of research at Insignia Consultants.
“Central banks’ tolerance on hyper inflation will be tested this quarter,” he said, adding that there was a technical breakout on $1,781 on gold, accompanied by a short covering.
In electronic trading shortly after the Fed minutes’ release Wednesday, gold prices were down a bit at $1,793.50.
The Fed’s minutes of the September meeting were released about a half an hour after gold futures settled on Comex and confirmed that the central bank officials discussed a plan to reduce the pace of asset purchases by $15 billion per month.
The Fed’s No. 2 Richard Clarida had already signaled earlier this week that the economic recovery from COVID-19 had essentially met the criteria necessary to announce a reduction of monthly asset-purchases of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities that have been in force since June of 2020.
The Fed minutes will be key for Thursday’s trading, said Karnani.
Until Wednesday gold had been mostly registering small losses and trading in a relatively tight range between $1,750 and around $1,770 an ounce. Gold bulls have noted that the precious metal has managed to maintain relative strength despite a stronger U.S. dollar and a steady climb in benchmark Treasury yields, which can compete against bullion for those investors seeking a perceived haven in uncertain times.
“In the commodity complex, gold has displayed some remarkable resilience in recent sessions, absorbing a stronger dollar and the spike in yields without much trouble,” wrote Marios Hadjikyriacos, senior investment analyst at XM, in a daily note.
In Wednesday dealings, however, the dollar, as gauged by the ICE U.S. Dollar index DXY,
“There is a large rally in copper and industrial metals…on supply squeeze concerns,” said Karnani.
What Dating Site Has 'jarsno' Been On In Last Months
Leigh Isaacson built her start-up to address a stigma. Handsome men, she says, have been 'ripped to shreds' on dating apps, all because of something they love: cats.
Isaacson is the co-founder and CEO of Tabby, a dating app for cat-lovers that launched in August 2020. It's Isaacson's second such venture: Three years ago, she also launched Dig, a dating app for dog-lovers that's grown past 100,000 users, she said on Friday's episode of ABC's 'Shark Tank.'
Data backs up her premise. Last year, Colorado State University and Boise State University asked 1,388 heterosexual American women between the ages of 18 and 24 to rate a group of men's photographs — some holding cats or dogs. The study found that men pictured holding their cats were viewed as 'less dateable.'
'I don't get this cat shame,' said Shark Lori Greiner, a self-professed cat person.
Greiner didn't invest in Tabby, but one of her cohorts did: Kevin O'Leary, who agreed to a deal worth $300,000 in exchange for a 30% stake in the company. 'I have become a cat-lover because it has a lot of cash-flow' O'Leary said.
He'd know: O'Leary also owns a stake in Basepaws, a company that sells at-home cat DNA tests. He told Isaacson that he helped scale Basepaws to a $40 million valuation, up from just $2 million when he first invested. Part of that, O'Leary said, involved building a massive database of cat owners — which could be useful for Tabby.
The start-up might need it. At the time of taping, Tabby only had 31,000 users, translating to $43,000 in annual revenue: The company charges subscribers $19.99 per month. Platforms like Tinder and Bumble offer their premium services for $29.99 and $22.99 per month, respectively.
One potential reason for the company's lack of traction: It was initially built for the web, not mobile. When Tabby switched to mobile, Isaacson said, it essentially had to start from scratch — and suffered another setback when the developers she'd contracted 'terminated our contract early.'
Tabby did not immediately respond to CNBC Make It's request for comment on why the partnership was terminated.
Still, Isaacson said on Friday's episode, her experience with Dig gave her faith in Tabby: 'We learned that there aren't places like dog parks for cat people to go out and meet each other, and there's a stigma around cat people.'
That stigma, she said, includes comments on other dating apps like, 'My friend said you have four cats, that's four red flags,' and 'Ugh, do you sleep with that thing?'
On Tabby, subscribers can filter their potential matches by pet size or hypoallergenic status. They're prompted with cat-specific questions like, 'How much do you spend on your cat a month,' or 'Does he/she sleep in the bed with you at night?'
'I think you're really going to help her' Shark Robert Herjavec told O'Leary. 'What I see is you promoting the app with a picture of you, with a hairless cat.'
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O'Leary laughed, referencing his budding cat empire: 'I'm the king of the litter.'
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